CD Basconia vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
SOD
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
AFT
1 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
PAS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
35%
27%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARI
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LON
3 - 0
ARI
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 3
URD
29%
26%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
CDU
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |