Basáñez vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
ETS
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CER
1 - 1
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
2 - 1
BAS
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PAY
3 - 1
BAS
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
0 - 0
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 2
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 0
LUZ
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RAC
0 - 1
SUD
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SUD
1 - 1
DUR
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
SUD
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |