Basáñez vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
COL
27%
24%
48%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 1
MWA
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 5
LFC
16%
25%
60%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 3
PLA
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
JUV
0 - 2
DEF
18%
26%
56%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |