Basáñez vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
DEP
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 0
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
RAC
0 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ATE
2 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 4
PLA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 1
FEN
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DEP
0 - 4
FEN
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ETS
1 - 0
FEN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FEN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
FEN
1 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |