Barwell vs Westfields analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
STO
2 - 3
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
MIC
1 - 3
BAR
50%
23%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Westfields
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
KID
5 - 6
WES
35%
23%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WES
1 - 1
KID
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WES
1 - 0
PEG
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WES
2 - 3
LYE
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |