Barwell vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GRA
5 - 2
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEE
73%
16%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
LOU
0 - 3
BAR
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
QUO
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
SHE
5 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 2
RUS
13%
22%
64%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
GOO
4 - 1
SHE
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 1
LOU
36%
26%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
KID
0 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |