FA Trophy 1/512
Global 4-5
Barton Rovers vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
AYL
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
EGH
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAR
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
BAR
40%
24%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEI
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
4 - 2
HEY
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
YEL
54%
25%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
YEL
34%
24%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
0 - 2
MAL
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
YEL
2 - 1
WHI
71%
17%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |