Barton Rovers vs AFC Hayes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DAV
3 - 4
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOR
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 4
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UXB
4 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AFH
2 - 4
BED
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 1
BIG
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AYL
2 - 0
AFH
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 1
DAV
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 1
SLO
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |