Barry Town vs Llwydcoed AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
TAF
2 - 0
BAR
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 2
NWP
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
LID
3 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
NEA
3 - 0
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
TAF
2 - 0
LLW
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LLW
1 - 2
PON
27%
24%
48%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLW
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LLW
0 - 2
ERA
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BFC
5 - 1
LLW
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |