Barry Town vs Croesyceiliog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
LID
6 - 1
BAR
74%
18%
8%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
TON
3 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
3 - 1
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
PON
4 - 0
BAR
68%
19%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 3
NWP
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
PON
0 - 3
CRO
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 0
TON
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
CRO
0 - 3
GOY
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 1
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |