Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
7 - 1
PON
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 3
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 1
FLI
16%
22%
63%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 5
NEW
13%
20%
66%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |