Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 2
BAL
45%
24%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CEF
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |