Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 2
LID
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
8%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
NEW
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 0
BAL
25%
24%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 2
PRE
46%
23%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |