Barry Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
WEL
0 - 4
BAR
20%
23%
58%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
BAR
4 - 1
RHY
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
BAN
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
HAV
2 - 4
BAR
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CWM
0 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
TNS
2 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 2
POR
51%
23%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
CEF
3 - 0
ABE
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |