Barry Town vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 2
RHY
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 2
CAM
45%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
TNS
6%
12%
83%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
CAM
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |