Barry Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 4
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRY
0 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
TAF
1 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |