Barry Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BFC
0 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 2
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 2
LID
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CWM
0 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BFC
5 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
PON
4 - 1
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
DIN
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -3 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 6
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |