Barry Town vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
PRE
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FLI
0 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
PON
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
ERA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
BAR
38%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 3
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
TON
0 - 1
AFC
45%
23%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
TAT
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |