Barrow vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALD
0 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 3
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EBB
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
TOW
4 - 2
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
BAR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
WRE
0 - 2
LEY
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 1
WRE
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WES
0 - 2
WRE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WRE
3 - 1
GAT
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
WRE
1 - 0
HAR
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |