Barrow vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALF
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WOK
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
HYD
0 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
KID
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 0
KID
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
KID
2 - 3
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
KID
0 - 2
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 0
KID
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |