Barrow vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIN
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
STO
3 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
DAR
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
7 - 0
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
VAU
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |