Barrow vs AFC Wimbledon analysis

Barrow AFC Wimbledon
58 ELO 66
-14.7% Tilt 1.5%
3561º General ELO ranking 2389º
92º Country ELO ranking 62º
ELO win probability
28.8%
Barrow
28.9%
Draw
42.2%
AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
Barrow
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.3%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barrow
+11%
+5%
AFC Wimbledon

Points and table prediction

Barrow
Their league position
AFC Wimbledon
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
17º
16º
73
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Doncaster Rovers
84
84
100%
Port Vale
80
80
100%
Bradford City
78
78
100%
Walsall
77
77
100%
AFC Wimbledon
73
73
100%
Notts County
72
72
100%
Chesterfield
70
70
100%
Salford City
69
69
100%
Grimsby Town
68
68
100%
Colchester United
10º
67
67
10º
100%
Bromley
11º
66
66
11º
100%
Swindon Town
12º
62
62
12º
0%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
62
62
13º
0%
Fleetwood Town
14º
60
60
14º
0%
Cheltenham Town
15º
60
60
15º
0%
Barrow
16º
59
59
16º
100%
Gillingham
17º
58
58
17º
100%
Harrogate Town
18º
53
53
18º
100%
Milton Keynes Dons
19º
52
52
19º
100%
Tranmere Rovers
20º
51
51
20º
100%
Accrington Stanley
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Newport County
22º
49
49
22º
100%
Carlisle United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Morecambe
24º
36
36
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Barrow
AFC Wimbledon
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Barrow
AFC Wimbledon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barrow
Barrow
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
3 - 0
Aston Villa U21
AVI
57%
21%
22%
59 43 16 0
09 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Colchester United
COL
43%
28%
29%
59 56 3 0
02 Nov. 2024
BAR
Barrow
0 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
21%
22%
57%
59 67 8 0
26 Oct. 2024
BRO
Bromley
1 - 1
Barrow
BAR
42%
26%
32%
59 58 1 0
22 Oct. 2024
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Notts County
NOT
25%
24%
51%
59 63 4 0

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Grimsby Town
GRI
65%
21%
14%
66 57 9 0
03 Nov. 2024
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
0 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
42%
25%
34%
65 62 3 +1
29 Oct. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 3
Brighton & Hove U21
BHA
52%
21%
28%
66 56 10 -1
26 Oct. 2024
POR
Port Vale
3 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
38%
28%
34%
67 62 5 -1
22 Oct. 2024
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe
MOR
62%
21%
17%
66 57 9 +1