Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Los Barrios vs Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DHE
0 - 2
BAR
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
SRQ
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
JER
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRD
1 - 1
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 0
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
TOM
65%
22%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
ILL
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |