Los Barrios vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
3 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 3
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
SEV
32%
27%
41%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CON
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SRO
2 - 0
LUC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
LUC
74%
18%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CRD
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ASJ
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |