Los Barrios vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRD
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 5
SFE
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 3
BAR
43%
27%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 3
CAD
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
LUC
0 - 1
ARC
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CAD
1 - 2
LUC
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 2
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CCF
2 - 1
LUC
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
LUC
0 - 2
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |