Los Barrios vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 0
BAR
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CEU
1 - 1
BAR
45%
28%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
BET
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CRD
0 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
SRQ
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CDA
0 - 2
CDL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CDL
1 - 0
CIS
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
POZ
0 - 1
CDL
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CDL
3 - 0
ECI
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |