Barillas vs Siquinalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ROS
2 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESC
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
IZT
3 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
IZT
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Siquinalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SIQ
3 - 0
IZT
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SLC
0 - 0
SIQ
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SIQ
2 - 3
REU
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
SIQ
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |