Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SLC
3 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ESC
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 2
SOL
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 2
ROS
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
0 - 1
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
5 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
NUE
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |