Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ROS
1 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
DEP
27%
27%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SLC
1 - 0
BAR
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
IZT
25%
27%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
3 - 1
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
4 - 2
ESC
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
NUE
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
SOL
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 1
REU
61%
21%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 2
NUE
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |