Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
IZT
3 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
IZT
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
HUE
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 1
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NUE
3 - 0
DSA
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DSA
3 - 1
NUE
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |