Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
HUE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SLC
4 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
IZT
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
NUE
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
PUE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 0
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
SLC
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |