Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
SPD
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
3 - 1
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 2
AYU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
NUE
37%
26%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
AYU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |