Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
IZT
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPD
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
HUE
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 1
AUR
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COM
8 - 1
NUE
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
PUE
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 2
AYU
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
NUE
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |