Barillas vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
HUE
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
AYU
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPD
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
AYU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 1
NUE
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 0
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |