Primera Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Barillas vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HUE
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
IZT
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PUE
5 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COB
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
CON
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |