Barillas vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
HAL
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
HUE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
HER
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
NUE
76%
14%
10%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 2
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HER
5 - 1
SLC
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |