Barillas vs Halcones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
HUE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SLC
4 - 1
BAR
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
IZT
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
HAL
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 0
PUE
76%
16%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
2 - 1
NUE
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HUE
0 - 1
HAL
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
3 - 3
SLC
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |