Barillas vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
SPD
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HUE
4 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 1
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
CON
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |