Barillas vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AYU
4 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
5 - 0
NUE
53%
23%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUE
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
HUE
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
DEP
27%
27%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
LAG
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |