Barillas vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
SOL
2 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
REU
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NUE
5 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ROS
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
DEP
4 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
ESC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
IZT
3 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 0
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
REU
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 0
CHI
57%
22%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |