Barillas vs Dep. Ayutla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NUE
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
IZT
3 - 1
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
SPD
39%
25%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Ayutla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AYU
0 - 4
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
AYU
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AYU
2 - 1
PUE
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HUE
4 - 0
AYU
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 2
AUR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |