Barillas vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AYU
1 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SPD
2 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
AYU
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 2
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPD
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
DEP
37%
27%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |