Barretos vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 3
BAR
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 1
TAB
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
BAR
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAP
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MOG
0 - 1
BAR
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ATI
3 - 0
MAN
71%
20%
10%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 1
DES
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |