La Barrera vs Nervión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 4
CIS
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UTR
5 - 0
BAR
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
BRE
23%
23%
55%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 2
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NER
1 - 2
UTR
25%
25%
50%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 2
NER
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 4
ROC
31%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 0
NER
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NER
3 - 2
COR
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |