La Barrera vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 3
BAR
23%
24%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
ADS
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
BAR
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 2
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
LCF
37%
25%
38%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 0
UDM
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDM
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
7 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 0
UDM
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |