Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-3
Barras vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 2
BAR
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 3
SAM
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
PIC
0 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
HOR
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
REC
1 - 1
REM
40%
24%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
REM
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
REM
2 - 1
ANA
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
REM
2 - 2
PAY
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
REM
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |