Barras vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 1
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAC
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
COR
1 - 3
BAR
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
3 - 2
PIC
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
PIC
0 - 0
RIV
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 0
PIC
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PIC
4 - 4
PAR
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 1
PIC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |