Barras vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 3
CAC
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
4DE
44%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
CAC
1 - 1
PIA
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
PIC
2 - 1
PIA
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PIA
2 - 1
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
4DE
4 - 2
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |