Barras vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 3
CAC
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 0
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
PIC
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
4DE
0 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
RIV
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |