Barras vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 3
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
RIV
4 - 1
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
SAM
2 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 0
ITA
80%
13%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |